Hospital / Health System Dashboard

CMO / Population Health Team — New York City

COMPOSITE RISK INDEX

New York City

LAST UPDATED: FEB 23, 2026 09:14

Moderate RISK

improving-5 pts/7d

14-DAY FORECAST: 48–68

3060800100

Probabilistic estimate — not a clinical diagnostic tool

PROJECTED ED SURGE — 8 WEEKS

BASELINE AVG: 144

CAPACITY PLANNING

22%

SURGE RESERVE

Respiratory unit — next 7d

13%

CARDIAC RESERVE

Elective procedure buffer

11%

ICU FLEX

Multi-use flex beds

Based on current risk forecast, recommend holding 22% surge capacity in respiratory unit over next 7 days. Wastewater pathogen signals and wearable biosignal deviations are the primary drivers.

COHORT RISK FLAGS

COHORT	CONDITION	RISK	EST. SIZE	ACTION
Adults 65+ with COPD	Respiratory	74High	1,440	Proactive outreach — schedule respiratory check-up
Diabetic patients, age 40–70	Cardiovascular	52Moderate	3,519	Recommend proactive HbA1c scheduling
Patients with anxiety/depression Rx	Mental Health	67High	1,010	Flag for care coordinator follow-up call
Pediatric asthma patients	Respiratory / AQI	57Moderate	640	Send air quality alert to caregivers
Pregnant patients, 3rd trimester	Multi-factor	54Moderate	380	Notify OB practice leads to increase monitoring

SIGNAL STREAM — WASTEWATER · WEARABLE · ED RATE

Wastewater Pathogen Index

6h ago

39copies/mL norm.

AGGREGATED

Air Quality Index

1h ago

59AQI

AGGREGATED

Wearable Biosignal Score

15m ago

41score 0–100

DE-IDENTIFIED

ED Visit Rate

12h ago

212per 100k/wk

ANONYMIZED

Pharmacy Trend Index

3h ago

43anomaly 0–100

AGGREGATED

CONDITION RISK BREAKDOWN

Respiratory (Flu/RSV/COVID-like)

High62

Cardiovascular Events

Moderate43

Mental Health Crisis

Moderate58

Heat-Related Illness

Low29

Gastrointestinal Illness

Moderate51

LOW <30

MOD 30–60

HIGH 60–80

CRIT >80